Ratings Change: New Hampshire Senate

Stuart Rothenberg October 24, 2014 · 3:05 PM EDT

Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen continues to hold a narrow lead over GOP challenger Scott Brown. But Brown has exceeded our expectations, and he has cut Shaheen’s margin to the low single digits – even though the Republican’s unfavorable rating has been higher than his favorable rating.

Brown – like Republican nominee Thom Tillis in North Carolina – is now close enough that a strong wind at his back in the final week could help him to squeeze past the incumbent. While we continue to believe that Shaheen has the edge, we are moving this race from Lean Democrat to Toss-up/Tilt for Shaheen. 

Ratings Change: Massachusetts Governor

Nathan L. Gonzales October 24, 2014 · 3:04 PM EDT

Plenty of Democrats woke up Friday morning with a case of deja vu. The latest survey for The Boston Globe showed Democratic Attorney General Martha Coakley losing the race for governor of Massachusetts to Republican Charlie Baker, 45 percent to 36 percent. Once again, it’s Coakley struggling in a…

Seven More House Races Creep Toward Republicans

Nathan L. Gonzales October 24, 2014 · 12:15 PM EDT

The good news for House Republicans just keeps coming as another half-dozen races shift in the GOP’s direction.

House races often get far less media attention than Senate races or gubernatorial contests, and they therefore often develop later in the cycle. With less than two weeks before the…