Self-Fulfilling Prophecy Might Be Why Americans Hate Congress

Stuart Rothenberg August 13, 2014 · 10:38 AM EDT

The media’s narrative about Congress is clear: It is unproductive, members care only about getting re-elected and they have failed to do their jobs.

So it should come as no surprise that Americans believe Congress has been unproductive, that members don’t care about doing the right thing, but…

Democratic Retirements Put the Senate in Play

Nathan L. Gonzales August 12, 2014 · 9:06 AM EDT

President Barack Obama’s slumping job approval rating isn’t doing Democrats any favors in the party’s quest to hold a majority in the Senate. But without a handful of Democratic retirements, the Senate likely wouldn’t be in play at all.

Republicans need a net gain of six Senate seats to get to…

Inside House Democrats’ Expanding Ground Game

Nathan L. Gonzales August 8, 2014 · 10:13 AM EDT

In the face of a challenging midterm environment, Democrats are relying on money and an expanding get-out-the-vote effort to avoid losing any more ground in the House. But what does that souped-up ground game look like?

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s fundraising advantage…

Walsh Drops Out, Montana Senate Moves to Republican Favored

Nathan L. Gonzales August 7, 2014 · 4:55 PM EDT

The Senate race in Montana continues to slip away from the Democrats. Burdened by plagiarism allegations, appointed-Sen. John Walsh, D, will not seek election to a full term in November. 

Democratic chances of holding the seat against At-Large Rep. Steve Daines, R, might improve slightly with a…

New Poll Numbers Reinforce Bush-Obama Comparisons

Stuart Rothenberg August 7, 2014 · 9:31 AM EDT

My last column, which argued President Barack Obama’s situation going into his second midterm closely resembled President George W. Bush’s standing going into his second midterm, is reinforced in a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

When I filed the column on Monday, I used the NBC…

President George W. Obama Meets the Midterms

Stuart Rothenberg August 7, 2014 · 9:30 AM EDT

I certainly didn’t know foreign policy would be front and center in the final months before the midterm elections when I wrote in late April that these issues “could have an indirect yet significant impact on the midterm elections.”

But now, it looks increasingly as if foreign policy —…

Instead of Waves, Dems Looking to Make a Splash in Big Gubernatorial Races

Nathan L. Gonzales August 1, 2014 · 3:03 PM EDT

Democrats are looking at a very rough cycle in the House and a potentially disastrous outcome in the Senate, but gubernatorial races might offer some rare bright spots on Election Night.

Unlike the Senate playing field, Democrats have a large number of offensive opportunities in gubernatorial…

2014 Gubernatorial Overview (August 1, 2014) Alabama - Illinois

Nathan L. Gonzales August 1, 2014 · 3:02 PM EDT

ARIZONA -- Open; Jan Brewer (R), term-limited. August 26 primary.
The crowded Republican race to replace Brewer is coming down to two candidates: State Treasurer Doug Ducey and former General Counsel Christine Jones. Mesa Mayor Scott Smith, Secretary of State Ken Bennett, and four…