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And the Winner of the GOP’s Civil War Primary Is…Part II

Stuart Rothenberg August 28, 2014 · 2:47 PM EDT

Three and a half months ago, I wrote about the state of the fight between the Republican establishment’s pragmatic conservative candidates and tea party/libertarian/anti-establishment conservatives.

I concluded the results were mixed and it was too early to call a winner, though I also noted,…

Not Your Typical Southern Democrat in South Carolina

Stuart Rothenberg August 20, 2014 · 2:12 PM EDT

Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham’s Democratic opponent, state Sen. Brad Hutto, wants you to know two things: He has a path to victory against the two-term Republican, and it doesn’t require him to run from traditional Democratic positions.

“I’m not a Blue Dog,” Hutto said proudly during a recent…

Wave or No Wave, House Landscape Favors Republicans

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Nathan L. Gonzales August 15, 2014 · 3:03 PM EDT

While political reporters, analysts and party strategists argue over whether there is or is not a wave approaching, one thing is clear: it’s an extremely difficult landscape for Democratic candidates.

Candidates, party committees, and outside groups are polling dozens of House races as they…

Senate Races Shift to Higher Gear

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Nathan L. Gonzales August 15, 2014 · 3:02 PM EDT

Senate races in North Carolina and Arkansas have been underway for months. But as primary season comes to an end, the fight for a Senate majority in 2015 is starting to reach a full sprint nationally.

Republicans in Alaska will choose their nominee next Tuesday, but the general election…

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (August 15, 2014)

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Nathan L. Gonzales August 15, 2014 · 3:01 PM EDT

Connecticut Governor. Former Ambassador Tom Foley won the GOP nomination, 56 percent to 44 percent, against state Senate Minority Leader John McKinney on Tuesday. Foley will now face Gov. Dan Malloy (D) in the general election in a rematch of 2010, which was decided by less than 1 percent of the…

Self-Fulfilling Prophecy Might Be Why Americans Hate Congress

Stuart Rothenberg August 13, 2014 · 10:38 AM EDT

The media’s narrative about Congress is clear: It is unproductive, members care only about getting re-elected and they have failed to do their jobs.

So it should come as no surprise that Americans believe Congress has been unproductive, that members don’t care about doing the right thing, but…

Democratic Retirements Put the Senate in Play

Nathan L. Gonzales August 12, 2014 · 9:06 AM EDT

President Barack Obama’s slumping job approval rating isn’t doing Democrats any favors in the party’s quest to hold a majority in the Senate. But without a handful of Democratic retirements, the Senate likely wouldn’t be in play at all.

Republicans need a net gain of six Senate seats to get to…

Inside House Democrats’ Expanding Ground Game

Nathan L. Gonzales August 8, 2014 · 10:13 AM EDT

In the face of a challenging midterm environment, Democrats are relying on money and an expanding get-out-the-vote effort to avoid losing any more ground in the House. But what does that souped-up ground game look like?

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s fundraising advantage…