House News & Analysis

Almost a Must-Win for Democrats in Georgia 6

by Stuart Rothenberg June 12, 2017 · 9:30 AM EDT

Democratic strategists may hate the idea that they must win the June 20 special election in Georgia’s 6th District, but that doesn’t make it any less true.

Jon Ossoff’s defeat would not tell us what will happen seventeen months from now in the 2018 midterms any more than Republican Tim…

Four (Almost) Famous Congressional Candidates

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 9, 2017 · 9:25 AM EDT

The political media went into a frenzy last cycle when “Little House on the Prairie” actress and “Dancing With the Stars” contestant Melissa Gilbert decided to run for Congress in Michigan. Even though the Democrat eventually dropped out before she matched up against Republican Rep. Mike Bishop in the general…

A Harbaugh Elected in Ohio? You’ll Know It’s a Wave

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 5, 2017 · 8:46 AM EDT

Next year, everyone will publish election guides explaining which races to watch to figure out the winds of the midterms and predict if a wave is on the horizon. But if you only have time to watch one race, watch Ohio’s 7th District.

On Thursday, former Navy pilot Ken Harbaugh,…

The GOP’s Political Gamble on the Environment

by Stuart Rothenberg June 4, 2017 · 8:00 AM EDT

While activists on both sides of the aisle and both ends of the ideological spectrum argue about whether President Donald Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris accord is a good idea, the political risks of that decision are undeniable.

The president’s announcement is likely to elevate the salience of “the environment”…

Georgia 6 Special: Down to the Wire

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 2, 2017 · 2:30 PM EDT

It shouldn’t have been a surprise when Democrats lost two special elections in districts Donald Trump won by over 20 points, but explaining away a loss in Georgia’s 6th District, where Hillary Clinton narrowly lost to Trump would be much more difficult. Thankfully for Democrats, Jon Ossoff is well within…

Montana At-Large: Dems Eye 2018 in Wake of Gianforte Victory

by Robert Yoon June 2, 2017 · 2:28 PM EDT

MISSOULA, MONTANA – Republican Greg Gianforte’s six-point win last week over musician Rob Quist to fill Montana’s lone U.S. House seat continues the GOP’s 20-year stranglehold on state congressional races. But given the chaotic manner in which the race ended, as well as long-standing political trends in midterm elections, state…

Minnesota House Races: Majority at Stake

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 2, 2017 · 2:27 PM EDT

Donald Trump came close to breaking Republicans’ presidential losing streak in Minnesota that has spanned over four decades, though he didn’t need the 10 electoral votes anyway. Next year, the North Star State will be one of the most critical battlegrounds in the fight for the House. 

At least a…

Candidate Conversation - Jim Hagedorn (R)

June 2, 2017 · 2:26 PM EDT

Candidate for Minnesota’s 1st District

Interview Date: May 24, 2017

Date of Birth: August 4, 1962; Blue Earth, Minn.

Education: George Mason Univ. (1993)

Political Office: None 

Current Outlook: Hagedorn is a leading contender for the GOP nomination in an open seat created by DFL Rep. Tim Walz’s run for…

Key Counties to Watch in Montana’s Special Congressional Election

by Robert Yoon May 25, 2017 · 9:30 AM EDT

BOZEMAN, MONTANA -- Wednesday’s unusual confrontation between Republican Greg Gianforte and a political reporter have given a boost to Democratic hopes of picking off the vacant Montana at-large House seat previously held by now-Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke. Although Democratic nominee Rob Quist has kept the race surprisingly close, Gianforte still…

2018 House Overview: Early Warning Signs for GOP

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 19, 2017 · 2:30 PM EDT

After the 2016 elections, I’ve ruled out ruling things out. 

Of course not every result has an equal chance of coming true, but I think it’s OK to embrace uncertainty for a set of elections that won’t take place for another year-and-a-half. Roughly the same people who were certain Hillary…