House News & Analysis

Open Seat Gives Democrats a Takeover Opportunity in New Mexico

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 17, 2017 · 8:59 AM EDT

With re-election rates often hovering above 90 percent, open seats are critical factor in Democrats’ quest for a House majority. New Mexico’s 2nd District has been an elusive target for years, as long as Rep. Steve Pearce has been on the ballot. But the Republican congressman’s decision to…

Ratings Change: Illinois 12

July 7, 2017 · 2:56 PM EDT

Democrats have been trying to get St. Clair County State’s Attorney Brendan Kelly to run in Illinois’ 12th District for five years. He finally took the plunge this week and announced his challenge to GOP Rep. Mike Bost. 

One big question is whether Democrats missed their window of opportunity. Heading…

For GOP, Health Care Bill Looks Riskier by the Day

by Stuart Rothenberg July 5, 2017 · 4:01 PM EDT

The new Republican National Committee web video “Where’s Their Plan?” purports to place the onus for the nation’s health care crisis on Democrats, but instead shows how far off base the RNC is in understanding how the issue is likely to play next year if the party can’t pass a…

How Divided Parties Survive and Thrive

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 23, 2017 · 3:00 PM EDT

Democrats were divided before the special election in Georgia, and Jon Ossoff’s loss certainly didn’t help heal any internal wounds. The party went “all in” to win the suburban Atlanta seat and came up short in the type of district the party needs to win to get to a majority…

Virginia 10: Democrats Not Giving Up on the Suburbs

by Leah Askarinam June 23, 2017 · 2:59 PM EDT

This week’s Republican victory in Georgia’s 6th District offered the first evidence that highly educated suburban districts aren’t fleeing the party with President Donald Trump in the White House. 

Karen Handel’s win should be encouraging to Members such as Virginia Rep. Barbara Comstock, whose 10th District is another highly educated,…

House Battleground Breakdown: Diving Into Demographics

by Leah Askarinam June 23, 2017 · 2:58 PM EDT

We’ve learned from 2016 that demographics aren’t exactly destiny. But while the relationship between demography and voting behavior doesn’t amount to a perfect science, it can be useful to compare localities from across the country based on demography rather than purely on geography. For example, it can be more useful…

Candidate Conversation - Kia Hamadanchy (D)

June 23, 2017 · 2:56 PM EDT

Candidate for California’s 45th District

Interview Date: June 20, 2017

Date of Birth: Oct. 20, 1985; Torrance, Calif.

Education: Univ. of Michigan (2007, law school 2010)

Political Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Hamadanchy is one of at least three credible Democratic candidates angling for the right to…

Candidate Conversation - Ken Harbaugh (D)

June 23, 2017 · 2:55 PM EDT

Candidate for Ohio’s 7th District

Interview Date: June 15, 2017

Date of Birth: Dec. 15, 1973; Colorado Springs, Colo. 

Education: Duke University (1996); Yale law school (2008)

Political Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Harbaugh is the clear frontrunner for the Democratic nomination (particularly since he’s the only…

Candidate Conversation - Andy Kerr (D)

June 23, 2017 · 2:54 PM EDT

Candidate for Colorado’s 7th District

Interview Date: June 13, 2017

Date of Birth: Oct. 21, 1968; Cumberland. Md.

Education: Univ. of Colorado

Political Office: State senator; State representative (former)

Current Outlook: Kerr faces a competitive Democratic primary in the open seat race to replace Democratic Rep. Ed Perlmutter, who is…

Eleven Things I Think I Think After the Georgia and South Carolina Special Elections

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 20, 2017 · 11:38 PM EDT

One of the best parts about covering elections is that there is a final result. What seems like an endless stream of campaigning and ads and analysis finally comes to an end every time with vote tallies to digest until the next round. 
 
President Donald Trump and…