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Florida 13 Special: Democrats Throw Sink at Young’s Open Seat

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 26, 2013 · 3:30 PM EST

With the Virginia gubernatorial election in the rearview mirror, politicos will be looking for the next bellwether for the 2014 elections. Look no further than the special election in Florida’s 13th District early next year.

For at least a decade, Democratic strategists have been plotting life…

Arizona 1: Kirkpatrick Shoots for Re-elect, Not Repeat

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 26, 2013 · 3:29 PM EST

It’s no surprise that Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick is near the top of the list of vulnerable House Democrats. But unlike the vast majority of her at risk colleagues, the congresswoman voted against Republican Fred Upton’s “Keep Your Health Plan Act,” ensuring that healthcare will be a premiere issue next…

RPR Report Shorts (Florida 19, Louisiana 5, New York 24, West Virginia 2)

November 26, 2013 · 3:28 PM EST

Florida 19. Freshman GOP Rep. Trey Radel pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor charge of cocaine possession in Washington, D.C. He was sentenced to one year of probation and announced he would take a leave of absence in order to seek treatment.

At this point, it looks like GOP leadership is giving…

Republicans at Risk of Losing West Virginia’s 2nd District

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 22, 2013 · 10:55 AM EST

Democrats recruited West Virginia State Auditor Glen Gainer to run in the 1st District in the aftermath of the government shutdown. But the party’s best opportunity in the state might be in the 2nd District, with a candidate that some national strategists were wary of earlier this year.

Barack…

2014 House Ratings (November 21, 2013)

November 21, 2013 · 9:56 AM EST

The Most Divided House District in New York

by Stuart Rothenberg November 20, 2013 · 9:18 AM EST

Last month I wrote about a handful of interesting Democratic House candidates I had recently interviewed, but I did not include Martha Robertson, who is challenging GOP Rep. Tom Reed in New York’s 23rd District.

Most of those Democrats either had no record or seemed prepared to run as…

23 of 25 Vulnerable Democrats Vote in Favor of Upton Bill

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 19, 2013 · 10:08 AM EST

Virtually every House Democrat listed as vulnerable by The Rothenberg Political Report voted for Republican Michigan Rep. Fred Upton’s Keep Your Health Plan Act.

Two vulnerable Democrats voted against the bill: Ann Kirkpatrick of Arizona and John F. Tierney of Massachusetts.

Overall, 39…

A Critical Few Weeks for Democrats? It Could Get Worse

by Stuart Rothenberg November 18, 2013 · 9:24 AM EST

No wonder some Democratic strategists are nervous about the next few weeks.

President Barack Obama’s job approval numbers have taken a dive in two recent polls, and party insiders fear that every other poll released in the foreseeable future will show that the rollout of the president’s health…

Why Most Postmortems of Virginia’s Gubernatorial Race Are Wrong

by Stuart Rothenberg November 14, 2013 · 9:56 AM EST

The dust has settled (mostly) from last week’s elections, so I thought it time to present a very different assessment of what happened in Virginia than the snapshot I’ve seen from others.

For example, Democracy Corps and Women’s Voices, Women Vote Action Fund distributed a wholly self-serving…

For Some Candidates, Home Is Where the Opportunity Is

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 12, 2013 · 10:23 AM EST

We all know that candidates and members don’t have to live in a House district in order to run or even represent that area. And I’ve written about a number of top-tier Democratic hopefuls this cycle who don’t live in the district where they are campaigning.

But there is a new category of…