Archive
Virginia Redistricting: Making the “Ins” Further “In”
January 20, 2012 · 4:10 PM EDT
Virginia’s new congressional districts don’t dramatically alter the partisanship of many districts, but the lines do solidify incumbents from both parties.
Democrat Gerry Connolly’s 11th District becomes about five points more Democratic, making his already Democratic-leaning district safe for…
A Rough Estimate of the Current House Field
January 20, 2012 · 3:12 PM EDT
Contrary to what you see on television and cable news, there are other elections besides the presidential race this year. And for those who care about control of Congress, the picture there is starting to come into better focus.
Because of substantial redistricting gains in three large states —…
Mitt McCain — The GOP’s Strange Replay of 2008
January 18, 2012 · 10:20 AM EDT
The combination of Mitt Romney’s 16-point victory in New Hampshire and his rousing election night speech launched the former Massachusetts governor toward South Carolina with the kind of old-fashioned momentum that any candidate for high office would love.
Of course, Romney’s competitors are…
2012 House Overview (January 13, 2012)
SubscriberJanuary 13, 2012 · 11:58 AM EDT
Redistricting looks to become a small net plus for Democrats, but Republicans succeeded in shoring up a number of districts that they won unexpectedly in 2010. So while Democrats may well pick up a few extra seats because of the new lines, they may have fewer other seats to shoot for. Obviously,…
South Carolina Puts Perfect Record on the Line
SubscriberJanuary 13, 2012 · 11:57 AM EDT
Since 1980, South Carolina has played the decisive role in the GOP presidential contest, flawlessly picking the eventual nominee between the winners of the Iowa and New Hampshire contests.
Now, as former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney rolls into the Palmetto State having notched historic…
2012 House Ratings (January 13, 2012)
January 13, 2012 · 11:56 AM EDT
2012 RPR Electoral Vote Estimate (January 13, 2012) Romney vs. Obama
January 13, 2012 · 11:55 AM EDT
2012 Senate Ratings (January 13, 2012)
January 13, 2012 · 11:54 AM EDT
Can Mitt Romney Meet New Hampshire Expectations?
January 10, 2012 · 10:19 AM EDT
Welcome aboard the weird electoral expectations train. Next stop: New Hampshire.Oddly, some observers interpreted the narrowest of wins in Iowa by former
Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney as a loss — a strange conclusion given that six months earlier, almost every veteran political analyst and…
Cong. Fortenberry Declines Senate Run in Nebraska
January 9, 2012 · 12:34 PM EDT
In a "significant shift" over the weekend, Cong. Jeff Fortenberry (R) will not run for the open U.S. Senate seat in Nebraska and is expected to seek reelection, according to Nebraska sources.
Late last week, Fortenberry was coming to the brink, laying the ground work to enter the crowded…
