Archive

The Most Divided House District in New York

by Stuart Rothenberg November 20, 2013 · 9:18 AM EST

Last month I wrote about a handful of interesting Democratic House candidates I had recently interviewed, but I did not include Martha Robertson, who is challenging GOP Rep. Tom Reed in New York’s 23rd District.

Most of those Democrats either had no record or seemed prepared to run as…

23 of 25 Vulnerable Democrats Vote in Favor of Upton Bill

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 19, 2013 · 10:08 AM EST

Virtually every House Democrat listed as vulnerable by The Rothenberg Political Report voted for Republican Michigan Rep. Fred Upton’s Keep Your Health Plan Act.

Two vulnerable Democrats voted against the bill: Ann Kirkpatrick of Arizona and John F. Tierney of Massachusetts.

Overall, 39…

A Critical Few Weeks for Democrats? It Could Get Worse

by Stuart Rothenberg November 18, 2013 · 9:24 AM EST

No wonder some Democratic strategists are nervous about the next few weeks.

President Barack Obama’s job approval numbers have taken a dive in two recent polls, and party insiders fear that every other poll released in the foreseeable future will show that the rollout of the president’s health…

Why Most Postmortems of Virginia’s Gubernatorial Race Are Wrong

by Stuart Rothenberg November 14, 2013 · 9:56 AM EST

The dust has settled (mostly) from last week’s elections, so I thought it time to present a very different assessment of what happened in Virginia than the snapshot I’ve seen from others.

For example, Democracy Corps and Women’s Voices, Women Vote Action Fund distributed a wholly self-serving…

For Some Candidates, Home Is Where the Opportunity Is

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 12, 2013 · 10:23 AM EST

We all know that candidates and members don’t have to live in a House district in order to run or even represent that area. And I’ve written about a number of top-tier Democratic hopefuls this cycle who don’t live in the district where they are campaigning.

But there is a new category of…

Michigan Senate: Open Season

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 8, 2013 · 3:30 PM EST

Michigan hasn’t had an open U.S. Senate seat in almost 20 years. Given that, it’s surprising that Democratic Sen. Carl Levin’s decision not to seek re-election hasn’t brought a flood of candidates into the race, from both parties. In fact, Republicans and Democrats apparently have already…

Nebraska 2: Mr. Terry’s Wild Ride

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 8, 2013 · 3:29 PM EST

With Lee Terry it’s either feast or famine. The Republican congressman has represented Nebraska’s 2nd District for over a dozen years and each re-election seems to be either a laugher or a barnburner.

Every two years, Terry seems to do just enough to earn another term. But Democrats are…

RPR Report Shorts (New Jersey 3, Alabama 1, North Carolina 6)

November 8, 2013 · 3:28 PM EST

Alabama’s 1st District. Well-funded establishment candidate Bradley Byrne won Tuesday’s GOP primary runoff, 52 percent to 48 percent, over under-funded anti-establishment candidate Dean Young in the special election to replace former Rep. Jo Bonner (R). Byrne is the heavy favorite to win the…