Archive

‘Would You Rather?’ House Race Edition

Nathan L. Gonzales July 21, 2014 · 9:40 AM EDT

In the game “Would You Rather?” one is usually faced with a choice between two difficult and undesirable options.

“If you had a machete, would you rather amputate the feet of two friends or amputate one of your own feet?” asks the site YouRather.com. Or, “Would you rather spend a day with…

Fight for the House About 2016, not 2014

Subscriber
Stuart Rothenberg July 18, 2014 · 4:00 PM EDT

With the 2014 midterm elections less than four months away, the fight for Congress is all about the Senate. On the other hand, the battle for the House of Representatives is about positioning for 2016 rather than about which party will control the chamber next year.

National poll numbers…

2014 House Overview (July 18, 2014) Alabama - Indiana

Subscriber
July 18, 2014 · 3:59 PM EDT

Alabama (6 Republicans, 1 Democrat).
AL 6 (Open; Bachus, R). Former Alabama Policy Institute president Gary Palmer defeated state Rep. Paul DeMarco 64 percent to 36 percent. DeMarco finished first in the initial primary with 33 percent. Palmer will be a Member of Congress next year.

Alaska…

2014 House Overview (July 18, 2014) Iowa - Oklahoma

Subscriber
July 18, 2014 · 3:58 PM EDT

Iowa (2R, 2D).
IA 1 (Open; Braley, D). Former state House Speaker Pat Murphy (D) faces GOP businessman Rod Blum in the fall election, but Murphy starts off with the clear advantage. Republican prospects seem less than bright.
IA 3 (Open; Latham, R). Democrats (and EMILY’s List) are enthusiastic…

2014 House Overview (July 18, 2014) Oregon - Wyoming

Subscriber
July 18, 2014 · 3:57 PM EDT

Oregon (1R, 4D).
OR 5 (Schrader, D). Kurt Schrader underperformed in 2012 against an underfunded challenger. That’s the only reason why this seat is mentioned at this point. Clackamas County Commissioner Tootie Smith (R) barely had enough money to buy a couple nice televisions, let alone pay for…

Imperfect People Get Elected to the Senate

Nathan L. Gonzales July 16, 2014 · 9:55 AM EDT

In the heat of the campaign, it can be easy to disqualify or dismiss candidates based on unsettling, or sometimes unseemly, revelations. But all you have to do is look at the current lineup of senators to realize that imperfect people win elections.

Connecticut is a great place to start.

In…

Fight for the Senate Still Very Much Up in the Air

Stuart Rothenberg July 15, 2014 · 5:01 AM EDT

The bottom line looks about the same in the fight for control of the Senate in November — but some of the pieces of the puzzle have moved around dramatically over the past few months.

Republicans need a 6-seat gain to take over the Senate next year. Three Democratic-held Senate seats continue…

Minnesota Senate: Still Very Unlikely, But Not Impossible

Stuart Rothenberg July 14, 2014 · 9:30 AM EDT

We are moving the Minnesota Senate race from Safe Democrat to Democrat Favored, but readers should not make too much of the changed rating.

The change reflects the broad national environment and Minnesota’s generally competitive nature. A national anti-President Barack Obama wave certainly…