Archive

The Race Democrats Can’t Afford to Lose

by Stuart Rothenberg January 13, 2014 · 10:24 AM EST

It’s rare in politics that anything other than a presidential contest is viewed as a “must win” — but the special election in Florida’s 13th District falls into that category for Democrats.

A loss in the competitive March 11 contest would almost certainly be regarded by dispassionate observers…

Pay No Attention to That Title of Speaker in Front of My Name

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 11, 2014 · 9:30 AM EST

As speaker of the state House, Thom Tillis is one of the most powerful politicians in North Carolina. But you wouldn’t know it from the Republican’s first ad in the U.S. Senate race.

“In the private sector, businesses are built on accountability,” Tillis says. “But accountability is a foreign…

Oldest and Youngest Congressional Candidates of the Cycle

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 10, 2014 · 9:17 AM EST

When it comes to running for Congress, age ain’t nothin’ but a number.

The special election for Florida’s 13th District is a good example of the broad age spectrum of candidates running for Congress this cycle. Democrat Alex Sink is positioning herself to pick up the open seat in the March…

New York 4: Remains Safe for Democrats for Now

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 8, 2014 · 2:03 PM EST

Citing her battle with lung cancer, New York Rep. Carolyn McCarthy also announced her retirement on Wednesday. The Democratic congresswoman leaves behind a 4th District that Barack Obama won with 56 percent in 2012 and 2008 and John Kerry won in 2004, 53 percent to 46 percent.

There is a chance…

North Carolina 7: Democratic Seat Moves from Toss-Up to Safe Republican

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 8, 2014 · 1:56 PM EST

The House handicapping whiplash continues. Just days after Pennsylvania Republican Jim Gerlach announced his retirement giving Democrats a good opportunity to win his 6th District seat, North Carolina Democrat Mike McIntyre announced his retirement, moving his 7th District from Pure Toss-Up to…

Early TV Ads: Not New and Mostly a Waste of Money

by Stuart Rothenberg January 8, 2014 · 10:29 AM EST

By mid-December, more than $17.5 million had been spent on TV ads in just four Senate contests: in North Carolina ($8.3 million), Kentucky ($3.5 million), Arkansas ($3.4 million) and Louisiana ($2.3 million), according to a recent piece by Roll Call’s Kyle Trygstad.

The numbers are interesting…

Gerlach to Retire, Pennsylvania’s 6th Moves from Safe to Lean Republican

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 6, 2014 · 2:34 PM EST

When it comes to open seat opportunities, Democrats are being handed all the right seats, but they might be coming at the wrong time.

Rep. Jim Gerlach is the latest Republican to announce his retirement in a competitive congressional seat. Democrats have coveted Pennsylvania’s 6th District…

All GOP Primaries Are Not Created Equal

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 6, 2014 · 10:48 AM EST

Reporters can be lazy. I know this is a shock for many of you, but I think some of the media coverage of Republican Senate primaries has been somewhat shallow.

The short story is that not all primaries are created equal.

Senators vary in vulnerability, challengers vary in credibility and…