Mississippi Senate: Musgrove Leads in New Democratic Poll

Stuart Rothenberg May 20, 2008 · 1:48 PM EDT

Former Governor Ronnie Musgrove (D) leads appointed-Sen. Roger Wicker (R) 48%-40% in the Mississippi Senate race, according to a new poll released by the Democrat’s campaign and the DSCC. Musgrove benefits from higher name identification, and the race will close, but the initial numbers are good…

2008 Senate Ratings

May 20, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here are our latest Senate ratings.

Likely Takeover (1 R, 0 D)
  • VA Open (Warner, R)
Lean Takeover (2 R, 0 D)

  • NM Open (Domenici, R)
  • Sununu (R-NH)
Toss-Up (2 R, 1 D)
  • CO Open (Allard, R)
  • Coleman (R-MN)
  • Landrieu (D-LA)
Narrow Advantage for…

Mississippi 1 Special: Why Childers Won and Why Davis Lost

Stuart Rothenberg May 19, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Some of the things I have said over the past few weeks about the Mississippi 1st district special election I now think were wrong.

Initially, I assumed (without a lot of thought, actually) that Greg Davis would win narrowly. I imagined that if he lost, the major reason would be the mood of the…

New Print Edition: 2008 Senate Overview

May 16, 2008 · 12:37 AM EDT
The May 14, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate…

Are Republican Ads That Attack Obama and Pelosi Effective?

Stuart Rothenberg May 15, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Hours after the results were tallied in Louisiana’s 6th district special election, both parties issued assessments about the efficacy of GOP ads linking the winner, Don Cazayoux (D), to presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) and Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.).

Democrats proclaimed…

Few Pollsters Get High Marks in ’08 Presidential Races

Stuart Rothenberg May 12, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Everyone seems to conduct polls these days, but not everyone conducts good ones. That’s the message I drew after reviewing dozens of presidential polls conducted from Iowa through Indiana and North Carolina.

It’s beyond time for those of us who write about politics to evaluate the seemingly…

Oregon Senate: Will Democrats in Oregon Go Quirky or Traditional?

Stuart Rothenberg May 8, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Two weeks from tomorrow, we’ll know whether Oregon Democrats have nominated Jeff Merkley or Steve Novick to take on incumbent Gordon Smith (R) in the Senate race. The primary, with anti-war candidate Candy Neville a wild card, has been far more entertaining — and much more competitive — than most…

2008 House Ratings

May 7, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here are our latest House ratings. Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. For our race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.

We've updated the chart to reflect Democrat Don Cazayoux's win in the Louisiana…

Open Season in 2010

Nathan L. Gonzales May 6, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Democrats aren’t losing much sleep over their open seats this cycle. But 2010 may be a whole different story.

This year, Democrats control only seven of the 31 open seats in the House. They simply aren’t leaving Washington, D.C., the way the Republicans are, whether it’s due to excitement about…

May Is a Special Month for House Campaign Teams

Stuart Rothenberg May 5, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Normally, May is the month of college graduations, flowers and the Kentucky Derby. This year, you can add special elections to that list.

On Saturday, voters in the special election in Louisiana’s 6th Congressional district will pick either Woody Jenkins (R) or Don Cazayoux (D) to fill the…