March 10, 2014 · 10:31 PM EDT
After almost five months and more than $9 million in campaign spending, neither Democrat Alex Sink nor Republican David Jolly has a clear upper-hand in the final hours before Tuesday’s special election in Florida’s 13th District.
Even though polling continues to show a neck-and-neck race, many Democrats are privately and cautiously confident that Sink will prevail, based on her performance with absentee ballots (compared to Democrats who have won the district in the past) and polling of the outstanding voters.
But there is enough uncertainty to keep the Rothenberg Political Report rating of race as a Tossup.
Over the last month, the polling in the race has been remarkably consistent, as it has had Sink and Jolly within the margin of error. And the polls have shown the undecided vote between 7 and 9 points. That is significant when the candidates are within a point or two of each other.
Polling has also shown libertarian candidate Lucas Overby receiving 6 percent to 7 percent of the vote. That is likely overstating his support in the district (he seems more likely to receive between three and four percent, according to operatives tracking the race), but it is unclear whether he is drawing disproportionately from Jolly or Sink in those polls.
There is one certainty in…
March 10, 2014 · 9:30 AM EDT
The national media’s reaction to former President Bill Clinton’s recent trip to Kentucky to boost the Senate candidacy of Democratic Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes was predictable.
Most of my colleagues in the media can’t resist a Clinton (Bill or Hillary) sighting, and Senate…
March 7, 2014 · 11:54 AM EDT
A Republican group recently boasted about Republicans becoming “the only political party in history to run a Web ending.”
But it would be surprising if many Republican candidates are anxious to put .GOP behind their name.
The Republican State Leadership Committee led the effort to secure the…
March 6, 2014 · 2:34 PM EDT
Every six minutes, some reporter in the world is writing about a Republican primary. That’s not to say that GOP primaries don’t matter — because sometimes they do — but there are a handful of Democratic House primaries that could have general election ramifications as well.
Here is a look at…
March 4, 2014 · 10:41 AM EDT
For the second time, Republican Ken Buck has failed to become a United States senator from Colorado. But his most recent campaign was not in vain and helped make him the front-runner for a seat in the House.
GOP Rep. Cory Gardner’s decision last week to challenge Democratic Sen. Mark Udall had…